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Topic ClosedSnow predictions 2011/2012

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njironman6 View Drop Down
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Direct Link To This Post Topic: Snow predictions 2011/2012
    Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 11:55am
What do you guys think for the east coast this year? Im thinkin lots of snow based on all this crazy weather this summer, hurricanes, earthquakes, record breaking rainfall. Im in NJ and school in PA hoping we get nailed with a couple early blizzards
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 12:11pm
NOAH forecast and the farmers almanac say theres gonna be alot of snow. my resort in central nh has already posted their opening day. 77 days to go!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 12:17pm
Hear there will be lots, but the Pac Northwest is gonna set records again. Thank you La Nina!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 12:26pm
Well, first off, we have this to look at and discuss.... http://www.accuweather.com/blogs/meteomadness/story/53551/snow-forecast-for-the-winter-of-20112012.asp and I would bet in a few weeks the guys over here.... http://www.famousinternetskiers.com/weather/ will have something to say.

I personally agree somewhat with the accuweather prediction. Based on current, and past trends for the east this summer, and spring, and even right now! all areas have been above average for precip. And even when you remove the totals that bitch Irene dumped, most places are still above average. I see this trend to continue.

This, mixed with the current trend of being below average temp. wise, could spell some NICE things for the east this year. There are a lot of models that insist that the east will be bitter cold this year. While it kinda sucks to ride in those negative digits, it is a fair trade to keep Ra*n away, and replace it with snow. I have also heard that with this bitter cold air mass, it will keep the water saturation of the air down as well=less humid air=more quality pow, and not east coast crete.

But...hey, this is just my prediction from looking at models and based off the little knowledge I have, along with predictions of others.  Only time will tell. Here is to hoping for a stellar winter for us east coasters....
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 12:27pm
There have been a few fronts that brought some snow to the upper 13k+ peaks here in Colorado but it's thought the larger storms won't be here until early spring.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 12:28pm
Originally posted by goldbond-2000

Hear there will be lots, but the Pac Northwest is gonna set records again. Thank you La Nina!


Yeah? Everything I have read, seen, and heard suggests otherwise. Hope that's not true, but really think it's just going to be a relatively  average year for the PNW.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 12:29pm
West coast will put you to shame again.  Chance of rain in Northern California already this Sunday. Bodes well for the season.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 12:31pm
Originally posted by screwyvarmint

West coast will put you to shame again.  Chance of rain in Northern California already this Sunday. Bodes well for the season.


You can not realistically compare the west coast to the east. On any level. Two completely different environments.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 12:50pm
Yeah hence why this thread is in this section lol I was wondering what people were thinking about the east coast great input guys I hope its as good as predicted.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/23/2011 at 1:03pm
I don't know.  After last year's massive dumping, I'm not expecting much for this season on the West Coast.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/24/2011 at 1:38pm
Lol what about east coast considering thats the thread :P

Ive been looking into some stuff and its basically saying in NJ its gonna be above normal temp (dreaded Ra*n) and east to central penn is the same :(
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/24/2011 at 1:44pm
Originally posted by batmanwest

Originally posted by screwyvarmint

West coast will put you to shame again.  Chance of rain in Northern California already this Sunday. Bodes well for the season.


You can not realistically compare the west coast to the east. On any level. Two completely different environments. 

What are you talking about?!!?!?!? New Zealand has the same weather we do in the states all year...duh

Chile has snow in the summer, duh


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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/24/2011 at 2:09pm
Originally posted by rzero


Originally posted by batmanwest


Originally posted by screwyvarmint

West coast will put you to shame again.  Chance of rain in Northern California already this Sunday. Bodes well for the season.
You can not realistically compare the west coast to the east. On any level. Two completely different environments. 

What are you talking about?!!?!?!? New Zealand has the same weather we do in the states all year...duh
Chile has snow in the summer, duh


Batman, do you put much stock in the Farmer's Almanac? They call for avg. temps with above avg. precipitation in the NW. Read your sources which call for the opposite. Farmer's calls for lots of snow in the upper NE.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/24/2011 at 2:16pm
^ No matter what you do you can never know what the weather will be like so far in advance. Hell the the weekly forecast on the news is wrong all the time. All you can do is hope, and wait and see if there will be good weather. Let it snow 
Worst I had was wonderful.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/24/2011 at 7:54pm
agreed andy just like good predictions as opposed to bad lol
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/24/2011 at 8:12pm
My prediction is tons of blizzards which will lead my professors to cancel class and me to shred all day.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/25/2011 at 9:26am
Murphy I hoping for the same I can definitely do some shredding on class cancels hahaha.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/25/2011 at 9:44am
Originally posted by andyc5315

^ No matter what you do you can never know what the weather will be like so far in advance.


Agree one hundred percent.

But at the same time, you CAN read current patterns and trends, and get a feel for what the generalization of the winter will be. Mixed with the oh so famous current blocking over Greenland.....Anyways, there are too many factors to take in to long term weather forecasting....Most of which I don't even understand.

My personal hunch is just based off the strong blocking over Greenland, mixed with current precip totals for the east. It has been a pretty stable pattern these past few months.

As far as if I follow and trust the farmers almanac? I follow it because weather interests me, but I have never really trusted it's predictions. I feel year after year the FA is too vague, and more times out of ten, is relatively off target. In my years of following weather, and precip totals and all that good stuff, I have found that the FA has always been off.

Which brings me to my next topic/insider guide. I know I plug them a lot on this site, but http://www.famousinternetskiers.com has always been right on with their predictions for the east coast. Countless times last winter their resident weather forecaster was right on with storm totals within a 1/2 inch...not bad if you ask me. They also give VERY detailed descriptions on not only quantity of snow in very specific areas of the NE, but descriptions of quality of snow in those areas. A very interesting site to follow during the winter if you are a NE rider. Just my .02 cents.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/25/2011 at 10:11am
I think it'll be a lot like last year, maybe more.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/25/2011 at 11:16am
the more snow the better but i got a bad feeling about this winter with all this weird weather stuff going on
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/25/2011 at 12:23pm
Originally posted by batmanwest

Originally posted by andyc5315

^ No matter what you do you can never know what the weather will be like so far in advance.


Agree one hundred percent.

But at the same time, you CAN read current patterns and trends, and get a feel for what the generalization of the winter will be. Mixed with the oh so famous current blocking over Greenland.....Anyways, there are too many factors to take in to long term weather forecasting....Most of which I don't even understand.

My personal hunch is just based off the strong blocking over Greenland, mixed with current precip totals for the east. It has been a pretty stable pattern these past few months.

As far as if I follow and trust the farmers almanac? I follow it because weather interests me, but I have never really trusted it's predictions. I feel year after year the FA is too vague, and more times out of ten, is relatively off target. In my years of following weather, and precip totals and all that good stuff, I have found that the FA has always been off.

Which brings me to my next topic/insider guide. I know I plug them a lot on this site, but http://www.famousinternetskiers.com has always been right on with their predictions for the east coast. Countless times last winter their resident weather forecaster was right on with storm totals within a 1/2 inch...not bad if you ask me. They also give VERY detailed descriptions on not only quantity of snow in very specific areas of the NE, but descriptions of quality of snow in those areas. A very interesting site to follow during the winter if you are a NE rider. Just my .02 cents.

Thanks for the heads-up on this site, I was not familiar with it and will surely check it out.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/25/2011 at 4:22pm
If we get more snow then last year ill be very pleased that was a good winter for NJ as far as snow goes. Just hope PA gets alot too (central)
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/25/2011 at 4:25pm
oh sweet, according to batman's link l should be in the heavy snow area. 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/25/2011 at 5:29pm
Originally posted by jenni

oh sweet, according to batman's link l should be in the heavy snow area. 


I wouldn't take that map too much to heart. It is a decent run down of what hopes and visions are to come, but was also made over a month ago I think.... I believe the end of October is when more "maps" will start popping up, as it will get easier to predict what winter has in store for us.
That being said, I really hope the map is right for this season. Really want some heavy snowfalls in central Ohio this year. I have big, big plans for some urban spots I have been scoping the past few months...
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/26/2011 at 6:03am
i read somewhere online that the east coast and midwest are gunna get hit with above average snow fall...i just want it to get cold early
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/26/2011 at 6:04am
It's been warm lately here in CO, so I'm predicting a wet winter.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/26/2011 at 7:06am
Ya I really want it to start getting cold sorta sick of being hot at night sleeping when its cold is the best.

Mid to late october should tell us alot about this winter.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/29/2011 at 9:02am
primed for a good season!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/29/2011 at 9:13am
I'm almost hoping for a bad season as I won't get to board nearly as much as last year.  Damn life being busy.  
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/29/2011 at 9:25am
I don't think I'm bad... I don't box, no karate... just here to make friends with everybody
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/29/2011 at 9:52am
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/29/2011 at 10:22am
Originally posted by ctoma

Another link:



I am totally down with this map. Has a better outlook than the accuweather one. At least for me!
And MikeD....that map was already posted bud. Sorry about your luck Tongue
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/29/2011 at 11:26am
The farmers almanac map looks horrible for me but the accuweather one completely contradicts that so who knows at this point guess were gonna have to wait another month for more info.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/29/2011 at 12:30pm
I hope it will be good but dont think it will be as good as last season
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/29/2011 at 12:40pm
i'd like more snow, but realistically, i'm pessimistic for something better than last season...that was just too good
be talkin to ya
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/30/2011 at 5:50pm
I hope not :( lol last year was so good. Where im at in school the monthly rainfall far exceeds the average along with philadelphia. Lock haven this month 14.1 inches- average 3.79 inches... Philadelphia 10.29- average 3.78

Lets hope that carries into the winter.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Sep/30/2011 at 5:53pm
14 inches of rain in one month is ALOTTT of snow depending on some variables of course but mostly ive seen 6.25-10 inches of snow per 1 inch of rain you do the math. Let it snow let it snow let it snow.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/01/2011 at 2:37am
I think there will be a dusting on 10/01/11 out in Wva
http://www.bbcrental.com/webcam.html
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/02/2011 at 6:28pm
Guess that didn't happen lol well october is officially upon us so hold your breath for some snow predictions!

This morning in state college we got some flurries made me feel all fuzzy inside haha.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/11/2011 at 7:39am
Anybody here anything now that its approaching mid october? in NJ and PA its been like 70-80 and im hating it.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/11/2011 at 7:43am
Kirkwood is already looking pretty snowy.  If we get any more big storms this season could be starting early again.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/11/2011 at 7:48am
Originally posted by batmanwest

Originally posted by ctoma

Another link:



I am totally down with this map. Has a better outlook than the accuweather one. At least for me!
And MikeD....that map was already posted bud. Sorry about your luck Tongue


Sorry about my luck??  WTH does that even mean?  because someone posted it before me?  Dang.. my ego is so hurt.. I can't live on... 

I don't think I'm bad... I don't box, no karate... just here to make friends with everybody
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/11/2011 at 2:38pm
I live in the PA area and i hope were gonna get nailed with a few blizzards this  year that would be dope!!!!!!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/12/2011 at 9:04am
I know im hoping this above average rainfall moves to snowfall and we can get an early and longggg season :)
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/22/2011 at 5:47pm
Heres the news from weather channel about this upcoming winter

http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/noaa-winter-outlook_2011-10-20

not looking good for my area :(
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/25/2011 at 2:06am
Originally posted by njironman6

Heres the news from weather channel about this upcoming winter

http://www.weather.com/outlook/weather-news/news/articles/noaa-winter-outlook_2011-10-20

not looking good for my area :(

Not looking bad either, just neutral. We my see some snow in the Catskills Thursday night:

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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/26/2011 at 6:33am
Yeah just checked my weather forecasts might see some winter mix snow and rain not a bad look for october lets just hope the temp drops alil because we've been getting tons of rain here well above average. Where I am in PA atleast.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/26/2011 at 6:43am
looks like theres going to be snow during the weekends, but with 40ish temp on monday lm sure its going to go away as fast as it came
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Oct/30/2011 at 11:05am
Got a good four inches this weekend totally unexpected. It has already almost all melted already hope the temps start to drop and stay down.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: Nov/10/2011 at 3:48pm
Belleayre is now tentatively opening Nov. 19. Hope it's cold enough next week for snowmaking. I'm kiteboarding tomorrow on the bay, we have a good windy forecast, but next weekend I'd like to do some snowboarding.........
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